Monday, June 23, 2008



Oil summit fails to halt soaring prices


11.30am BST update


Jeddah oil summit June 22 2008

Gordon Brown meets King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz Al Saud Jeddah oil summit June 22 2008. Photograph: EPA

Yesterday's crunch meeting of oil producers and consumers has failed to take the heat out of the oil price, which climbed again today amid mounting tensions between Israel and Iran.

The gathering in Jeddah, attended by prime minister Gordon Brown, did not produce a breakthrough on how to lower oil prices from its near-record levels. Instead it saw a clash between Brown and the head of Opec, and has also led to a war of words in Australia.

A barrel of US light crude for August delivery jumped to a high of $137.50 earlier this morning and was trading at $136.69 by 11.30am, while London Brent crude climbed $1.18 to $136.02 after hitting an earlier high of $137.24.

This came after Iran's defence minister threatened a "devastating" response to any attack on the country in the ongoing war of words over Tehran's nuclear programme. Pentagon officials have described a large-scale Israeli military exercise in the eastern Mediterranean earlier this month as a possible test run for a strike on Iran.

There is also concern that oil output from Nigeria will be disrupted for several weeks, following last week's attacks on oil fields operated by Royal Dutch Shell and Chevron in the Niger delta. Experts believe the drop in Nigerian oil production after two emergency platform evacuations last week could wipe out the impact of the recent increases promised by Saudi Arabia.

Yesterday Gordon Brown clashed with the president of Opec, Chakib Khelil, over the need to pump more oil at the emergency summit convened by Saudi Arabia in Jeddah. Khelil reiterated his view that speculation, not demand is at the heart of the oil price hike, saying "the price is disconnected from fundamentals" of supply and demand. Brown does have some support from Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer, which has announced two big increases in oil production in the past two months to 9.7m barrels a day, the highest in more than 30 years, and signalled it could do more.

High oil and petrol prices have prompted protests from truck drivers and motorists across the world. They also undermined business confidence in Germany, a key index compiled by the Munich research institute Ifo showed today. The business climate index dropped to 101.3 this month from 103.5 in May.

Politicians warned after the summit that oil, which nearly broke through $140 a barrel this month, is likely to go higher. Michael Glos, Germany's economy minister, said: "There is the danger that the markets will be disappointed and the price will increase again."

Canada, the top energy supplier to the United States, supports the call from G8 finance ministers for investigations into the role of speculation in the surge of oil prices, Canada's natural resources minister Gary Lunn said yesterday.

The backlash begins

The oil summit has led to recriminations in Australia where the opposition has accused the government of being "all blow and no torch" when it comes to petrol prices. The prime minister, Kevin Rudd, had called for the G8 nations to deliver a "blowtorch" to Opec but energy minister, Martin Ferguson, apparently adopted a more conciliatory approach at the meeting.

In the US, senator Charles Schumer dismissed the Saudi effort saying: "Nice try, but no cigar. When gas is at $4 per gallon, demand increases almost daily, and the Saudis have millions of barrels per day more in spare capacity ... this isn't nearly good enough."

The Democrat-controlled House of Representatives is expected to pass a popular, if largely symbolic, measure this week that would declare that Opec efforts to control oil prices are illegal and give the US attorney general the authority to sue the cartel.




Oil prices up again despite Saudi production pledge

PA
Monday, 23 June 2008

Oil prices rose today as investors shrugged off Saudi Arabia's pledge to increase production if needed.

The cost of light, sweet crude increased by more than one US dollar to $136.71 a barrel in early trading on New York commodity markets.

The price went up despite a commitment by the world's biggest oil producer at a specially-convened meeting in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, yesterday to up production levels "if they are needed".

The Saudi government has been under intense pressure from the US and other oil consumers to increase its crude output to help slow the soaring price of oil.

The kingdom said before the start of the meeting that it would add another 200,000 barrels per day in July, raising total daily output to 9.7 million barrels.

Energy industry analyst John Hall said: "Had Saudi Arabia wanted to make an impact, then it should have offered to increase its output by at least 500,000 barrels per day, or even one million.

"Output from Saudi was destined to increase anyway this year and all that has been given is confirmation of this."

Analysts said prices remained high today following disruption in Nigeria, Africa's largest producer. Nigerian oil fields operated by Chevron and Royal Dutch Shell have remained shut after they were attacked last week.

Mr Hall warned: "With further threat of attack on Iran from Israel and further supply disruptions in Nigeria, the oil price is now destined to rise further."

Brent crude futures rose 69 cents to $135.55 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

Prime Minister Gordon Brown attended the Jeddah meeting, calling for future commitments from producers for increased oil and gas supply as well as urging all countries to improve energy efficiency and develop alternative sources of energy, including nuclear power.

Oil hit a record price of $139.89 a barrel in New York earlier this month.




Saudi oil boost fails to stem soaring prices





From
June 23, 2008

Oil prices headed back towards record levels today after surging by more than $1 in early trading after a pledge from Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, to raise production failed to calm concerns following fresh attacks on a pipeline on Nigeria.

US light crude for August delivery today rose $1.76 to $137.12 a barrel, below the $139.89 record reached on June 13, despite Saudi Arabia stating it will raise daily crude output by 200,000 barrels to 9.7 million barrels next month, and committed to pumping more if needed.

Saudi Arabia was speaking at an emergency meeting of oil producing and consuming countries in Jeddah over the weekend.

Market analysts suggested the rise in production was insufficient, saying production had to rise to at least 500,000 barrels. Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi admitted yesterday that the move was unlikely to tame prices.

"I am convinced that the supply and demand balances and crude oil production levels are not the primary drivers of the current market situation and that markets are already well-supplied," Mr Naimi said.

"But... I also strongly believe that each of us must do what we can to alleviate these difficult conditions."

Global concern over output has been exacerbated by repeated rebel attacks in facilities operated by Shell and Chevron in Nigeria, resulting in the country pumping oil at its lowest level in 25 years — between 1.2 million and 1.5 million barrels a day, representing a reduction of at least 325,000 barrels.

Conflicting reports of a ceasefire and further attacks in Nigeria is adding to the unease in the market.

Militants in Nigeria blew up a key Chevron oil supply pipeline on Saturday, company and military sources said on Saturday.

According to industry sources, the US company was forced to shut down operations after the attack in the volatile Niger Delta, halting output by 120,000 barrels per day.

Meanwhile, The Anglo-Dutch oil group Shell also said it cannot promise to deliver 225,000 barrels per day for June and July following an raid on it offshore Bonga oilfield.

The news will be assessed by oil traders alongside reports of a ceasefire declared by the Nigerian militants, an abrupt change of position, following the attacks and after they had told all foreign oil workers to leave the area on Saturday.

Politicians traded accusations over the cause of the high oil prices at the summit in Jeddah, with oil-producers blaming speculators, and oil-consumers such as the US, suffering from record fuel prices at home, suggesting that robust demand and insufficient supply was to blame.

Meanwhile, Gordon Brown, attending the summit over the weekend, proposed a "new deal” offering oil-producing countries more investment opportunities in Western nations in return for greater access to untapped reserves. The call appeared to be met with a muted response, although Mr Brown said that Qatar and Abu Dhabi had both expressed interest.

Money Central: 10 tips to beat the energy crunch





«Più petrolio», la scelta saudita


L'annuncio al vertice di gedda di re Abdullah

La produzione di greggio verrà portata a 9,7 milioni di barili il giorno. L'Opec: «Inutile aumentare se non si può raffinare»

GEDDA - L'Arabia Saudita ha deciso di aumentare ulteriormente, entro luglio, la propria produzione di greggio, portandola a 9,7 milioni di barili il giorno: lo ha annunciato re Abdullah in apertura dei lavori del vertice di Gedda, dedicato al rincaro dei prezzi petroliferi e alle sue conseguenze.

VERTICE - Si apre sotto il segno delle divisioni la Conferenza di Gedda sull’Energia, forum convocato dall’Arabia Saudita con il poco velato obiettivo di individuare strategie per contribuire al riequilibrio del mercato petrolifero. Mercato che il presidente Opec Shakib Khelil definisce invece «equilibrato», come precisato nuovamente stamattina. In chiaro contrasto, se non polemica, con il primo produttore mondiale e capofila dell’Organizzazione, l’Arabia Saudita. Riad, infatti, ha fatto sapere che entro luglio metterà a disposizione 200.000 barili al giorno supplementari. Interrogato sulla questine il presidente dell'Opec Khelil - algerino - ha declinato laconico: «Andate a chiederlo ai sauditi». Khalil nega che vi sia un problema di domanda-offerta alla base dell’impennata dei prezzi del petrolio e sostiene l’inutilità di accrescere la produzione «se non la si può poi raffinare».

I MOTIVI DEL RINCARO - Tre, secondo il presidente dell’Opec, le ragioni dell’ascesa costante del prezzo del barile: la crisi finanziaria negli Usa, le situazioni di crisi a cominciare dal braccio di ferro tra Iran e Stati Uniti, il crescente peso della produzione di bio-etanolo. I bio-carburanti, in particolare, sono visti da Khalil come causa di una reale deviazione dell’offerta, perchè allontana i produttori dal diesel, richiestissimo ad esempio dalla Cina. Quanto alla minaccia del futuro esaurimento degli idrocarburi, «è questione vecchia di 20 anni, non è un argomento». Comunque sia, per il presidente Opec non ha senso aumentare ora la produzione di greggio.

KUWAIT: «PRONTI A PRODURRE DI PIU'» - L’Arabia Saudita, invece, rema in senso contrario. Affiancata dal Kuwait, a sua volta Paese vicino agli Usa, dichiara che l’Opec potrebbe (o dovrebbe) aumentare la produzione se il mercato lo dovesse richiedere. Il ministro del Petrolio Mohammed Al-Olaim è stato molto chiaro a tale proposito. «L’Opec non esiterà ad aumentare la sua produzione se il mercato lo esigesse», ha detto il responsabile del petrolio del quarto produttore di greggio al mondo, con 2,58 milioni di barili al giorno. Aggiungendo che «per quanto riguarda il Kuwait, non esiteremo ad alzare la nostra produzione se fosse necessario per il mercato». Gli analisti non attendono comunque annunci immediati. Dietro garanzia di anonimato, nella città saudita sul Mar Rosso i responsabili sauditi fanno i conti in tasca all’Organizzazione dei Produttori. Le capacità supplementari dei 13 Paesi Opec costituiscono circa 3 milioni di barili al giorno, con 2 milioni solo dall’Arabia Saudita. Il primo produttore per ora lancia segnali, ma non precisa le proprie intenzioni. A maggio era giù stata annunciata l’immissione sul mercato di altri 500.000 barili al giorno; a luglio l'Arabia Saudita arriverà a produrre 9,65 barili giornalieri.

VERTICE - Re Abdullah ha anche proposto le creazione di un fondo speciale dell'Opec a favore dei Paesi in via di sviluppo, o comunque più poveri, per aiutarli ad acquistare gli idrocarburi di cui necessitano, e a superare così l'emergenza. Il suo Paese, ha aggiunto il monarca wahabita, è pronto a devolvere a tale fondo un miliardo di dollari, e a offrire ulteriori 500 milioni di dollari in prestiti agevolati riservati agli stessi destinatari, onde finanziarne i progetti energetici e di crescita; ha quindi sollecitato la Banca Mondiale a organizzare un'altra conferenza internazionale per discutere dell'iniziativa. Abdullah ha imputato l'impennata dei prezzi alla speculazione, e all'eccessivo prelievo fiscale da parte dei governi dei Paesi consumatori. Riad, ha assicurato, è decisa a mettere a disposizione anche per l'avvenire le forniture petrolifere indispensabili per la tutela dell'economia mondiale.


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